I've been working on a paper using stylised balance sheets
to look at the interaction between traditional banking and market-based finance. The aim is to examine the reasons
for shifts between these two intermediation models before and during the crisis
and the implications for liquidity and solvency across the sector. In this post, I just want to give a brief
overview of the differences between the two techniques.
The diagram shows some simplified balance sheets. These are not necessarily supposed to represent distinct entities, so much as different business models.
The assets of traditional banking consist of a loan
portfolio and a holding of high quality liquid assets (HQLA). The liabilities will be short term unsecured deposits
with the balance forming capital (there will be other borrowings of a longer
term nature, but we can ignore those here).
The loan portfolio
will be long dated assets which will generally be fairly illiquid, in that it
is difficult to sell them at short notice for a price close to balance sheet
valuation. Given the short term nature
of its deposit liabilities, the traditional bank is therefore running a
maturity mismatch risk.
To deal with this mismatch, the bank maintains a holding of
HQLA. This might consist primarily of
government securities, but central bank reserves would also be included in
this. In the event that it faced deposit
withdrawals in excess of the rate of run-off on its loans, the bank would hope
to cover this out of its HQLA holding.
The traditional bank is therefore running a kind of
liquidity insurance. It is offering
liquidity to all of its depositors but covering this with a much smaller
quantity of liquid assets. Its risk is
that more depositors wish to withdraw their deposits at once than it can cover
out of liquid assets.
With market based finance the assets are all marketable
instruments. I have illustrated this
here as securitised loans. The
underlying loans may be similar to those held as illiquid assets on the traditional
bank's balance sheet. The process of
securitisation transforms these into a standardised tradeable instrument. This means they can be bought and sold much
more easily. With sufficient market
depth, there will be a continual market price for these securities and a
holder will expect to be able to sell at close to that price.
Having liquid securities as its assets allows an entity
using market-based finance to fund itself using secured financing, for example
repo. The repo funding provided by investors
is effectively secured by underlying assets (the securitised loans). The value of the security provided is
slightly higher than the amount of funding and, critically, is adjusted every
day for market movement. This is only
possible because the collateral is in the form of marketable securities with a
transparent market price. The level of
additional security provided therefore only needs to cover possible day-to-day
price movement.
In the market based finance model, all of the assets are
used as collateral[1]. There is no pool of unencumbered liquid
assets like the HQLA held by the traditional bank. However, no such pool is needed, because the market
based finance model is providing liquidity in a different way. Rather than rely on a type of insurance as in
traditional banking, the liquidity transformation relies on the marketability
of the underlying assets. Whereas a
traditional bank would dip into its pool of unencumbered liquid assets to deal
with a high level of withdrawals of its funding, an entity using market based
finance would simply look to sell down its regular asset base.
Both business models face liquidity risks, but they manifest
themselves differently. The liquidity
risk in traditional banking is that the HQLA holding is insufficient to cover
withdrawals. The liquidity risk in market
based finance is that the liquidity of the assets fails. For both models, the robustness of their
liquidity strategies may change.
A depositor with a traditional bank is taking credit risk on
the bank. They do not know the intricate
details of bank's balance sheet, so they are relying on the skills of the
bank's management in making good business decisions. They will however draw comfort from the level
of capital which provides a cushion against loan losses.
A provider of finance in the form of secured funding takes
much less risk on the borrower itself, relying instead on the collateral
provided. Some degree of
over-collateralisation is needed to meet rating requirements or to cover
haircuts, but generally the market based finance model requires lower levels of
capital.
A number of developments within the financial intermediation
sector in the run-up to the crisis and during it can be traced to the
differences between these two business models. These include changes in liquidity and
solvency levels, changes in lending appetite including credit criteria, and changes in
credit spreads.
[1]
There will repos with a variety of different counterparties. Distinct collateral is used for each
counterparty; they do not share in the same collateral pool.
Traditional Banking (TB) Market Based Finance (MBF)
ReplyDeleteI am wondering if there are some more basic differences between the two models?
For example, we commonly see that to get a car loan or a loan to build an industrial plant, we go to the TB. So far as I am aware, neither loan is initially available from the MBF.
A second example: what is the source of the MBF's securitised loans? It seems to me that it is loans from the TB that have been bundled together. A loan example would be a bundle of residential loans.
I am thinking that the MBF has appeal to the long term saver who has assets far past the limit on government deposit insurance offered on TB deposits. This saver is subject to a Cyprus Style deposit loss at the TB (which hopefully is avoided at the MBF institution).
The differences between these two methods of finance are certainly worthy of study!
Yes. In many case the underlying loans are originated within the TB model and then sold into MBF structures.
DeleteInvestors in MBF do tend to be those with significant sums who do not benefit from deposit insurance. The are not necessarily long term savers though. The point here is that the MBF liabilities are short term - generally overnight.
In order to have a robust financial system, I think it is crucial that loans are kept on the books of the lender until they are fully paid back or written down. Otherwise loans get made despite the expectation that they can't be repaid -because the lender doesn't care because the lender has sold them on.
ReplyDeleteI think the illiquidity of the traditional banking banking loan book was a positive aspect in that regard. Though I think it also needs to be matched by a robust funding system using maturity matched liabilities so as to eliminate liquidity risk.
I would certainly agree that one (of many) aspects of the crisis was an agency problem, and that this is more acute in originate-and-sell models than in originate-and-hold.
DeleteAssets held in traditional banking do tend to be illiquid, but that doesn't necessarily can't be made liquid. That, of course, is what securitisation is intended to do. So I'm not sure the illiquidity of assets is a protection in itself.
I think this article
ReplyDeletehttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-24/regulators-ramp-up-bond-fund-reviews-due-to-volatility.html
provides some real-economy relationships/references for this post.
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